The deteriorating situation between Israel and the Palestinians is a source of great embarrassment to Arab governments that have recently normalized their relations with Israel.
This had to happen because the Abraham Accords or ‘Abrahamic Agreements’ with Israel, which were negotiated by the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco and Sudan with great fanfare, were one day captivated by the conditions on the ground. Had to happen Now that the situation on the ground has deteriorated to the point of a deadly battle, the open warming between the Arab states and Israel has been curbed.
In the last months of the Trump administration, the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain’s plans to normalize relations with Israel under the name of the Abrahamic Agreements were largely finalized. As a result, we have seen many Arab countries Not only did it begin to formally recognize its relations with Israel, but it also began to implement plans for mutual cooperation with Israel in many other areas, including security and intelligence, unprecedented in the past.
Within weeks of the signing of these agreements in Washington, the head of Israel’s secret service, Mossad, was hailed as a major figure in the Gulf states. Could
And today the situation is such that the signatories of these agreements, especially the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain, find themselves in a very difficult position.
Not long ago, he was happily telling his people how much he would benefit from friendship with Israel in the areas of trade, tourism, medical research, eco-friendly economics and scientific development, but today he calls himself a person. They can sit in front of the TV 24 hours a day and eat curves. In front of their eyes are scenes of Israeli bombing of Gaza on TV, videos of Palestinians being forcibly evicted from their homes in East Jerusalem, and scenes of Israeli police raiding Al-Aqsa Mosque. Is.
And the Saudis, on the other hand, have breathed a sigh of relief that despite intense pressure from the United States, they did not board the penguin-raising vehicle with Israel, perhaps fearing that things would get worse Are
Jerusalem, considered the holiest city in Islam after Mecca and Medina, holds a special place in the hearts of Muslims and Arabs around the world. That is why the recent incidents at Al-Aqsa Mosque have touched the aching vein of not only the Saudis but also other people in the region. Like many countries around the world, the Bahraini government reiterated its support for Palestinian goals in a statement this week.
Michael Stephen, of the Royal United Services Institute, a London-based think tank, says the Arabs’ claim that states like the United Arab Emirates will be able to pressure Israel to comply with Palestinian aspirations has proved hollow. But now the situation has reached the point where even President Biden’s call for Israel to reduce its relentless attacks does not seem to be heard.
Most Gulf states have little to do with the Iranian-backed militant group Hamas, which has so far fired more than a thousand rockets and missiles at Israeli towns without distinguishing its targets.
But the Arab people of the Gulf countries sympathize with the Palestinians. And after decades of cold-bloodedness, if they were willing to unwittingly accept a new friendship with Israel, recent events have deepened their suspicions about Israel.
So far, the news of the fighting in the official media of these countries is not as one-sided as it used to be in the days of clashes between Israel and the Arabs in the past.
For example, videos on Saudi Arabia’s Al-Arabiya TV headlined Israeli airstrikes on Gaza, but also footage showing rockets fired by Hamas in Israeli towns. Fearing for their lives, ordinary people are running for refuge and sirens are ringing.
Although the situation in Gaza is being shown on Sky News Arabia in the United Arab Emirates, statements by Israeli officials are also being shown in which the officials are saying that their real target is a senior commander of Hamas.
Qatar, on the other hand, which, like Jordan and Egypt, seeks mediation to end the fighting, and has close ties to Hamas, is also seen in the news on TV.
So the question is, how will the current conflict affect future relations between Israel and its Arab allies?
The answer to this question largely depends on how long the fighting lasts and whether the death toll continues to rise.
The Arab states that have normalized their relations with Israel know that this new friendship will bring them a lot, especially in the field of state-of-the-art technology. But these countries may have to pay the price for these benefits in the event of unrest, which is a loss-making deal. No matter how much Hamas angers Israel, at the moment these countries do not want to be seen standing with a state that is killing the Palestinians.
According to Michael Stephen, “there is no possibility that the UAE will withdraw from the Abrahamic agreement, but until the fighting stops, relations between the Gulf state and Israel will remain where they are.”
The practical form of this stalemate will be that the UAE and Israel will maintain their behind-the-scenes contacts as they have for many years, but for now the days are gone when ambassadors of both countries hold joint press conferences and in public in both. Smiles were exchanged.